Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 1.908779 2.012335 2.119841 2.240041 2.370999 2.509704 2.668180
2026-01-18 1.776386 1.931054 2.099455 2.297595 2.525867 2.782485 3.095472
2026-01-25 1.643913 1.827690 2.035009 2.288683 2.594182 2.954868 3.420117
2026-02-01 1.524058 1.723419 1.954486 2.246002 2.609773 3.056988 3.662122
2026-02-08 1.408081 1.612544 1.854400 2.166766 2.567539 3.076467 3.792806
2026-02-15 1.329506 1.539942 1.793487 2.128069 2.568626 3.145610 3.989648
2026-02-22 1.274748 1.492181 1.758707 2.117673 2.602312 3.256593 4.251640
2026-03-01 1.217732 1.437833 1.711491 2.086401 2.603419 3.319944 4.447750
2026-03-08 1.144072 1.358645 1.627970 2.001206 2.523401 3.260314 4.448597
2026-03-15 1.108208 1.326052 1.602931 1.992556 2.548402 3.352443 4.693359
2026-03-22 1.102660 1.332063 1.628306 2.053450 2.675527 3.605335 5.228560
2026-03-29 1.077019 1.310242 1.614971 2.058759 2.720694 3.735395 5.572140
2026-04-05 1.054168 1.293436 1.610586 2.080922 2.799536 3.937228 6.096706
2026-04-12 1.034806 1.280796 1.611704 2.111790 2.895516 4.180194 6.750928
2026-04-19 1.001755 1.248012 1.582979 2.096522 2.917268 4.299949 7.187871
2026-04-26 0.963464 1.206400 1.539718 2.056524 2.895430 4.340196 7.466400
2026-05-03 0.918638 1.154060 1.478893 1.986277 2.818396 4.272737 7.496341
2026-05-10 0.887409 1.119703 1.442633 1.952051 2.799158 4.309706 7.771600
2026-05-17 0.865444 1.097591 1.423171 1.942819 2.821368 4.426559 8.261015
2026-05-24 0.839720 1.069217 1.393306 1.915355 2.809639 4.475869 8.594320
2026-05-31 0.802287 1.023013 1.335486 1.840497 2.709725 4.340892 8.424021
2026-06-07 0.785098 1.005447 1.319744 1.832881 2.729136 4.448773 8.928762
2026-06-14 0.784962 1.012444 1.340957 1.886409 2.862846 4.808854 10.250088